{"id":18493,"date":"2024-07-08T06:27:17","date_gmt":"2024-07-08T04:27:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thesmartcityjournal.cibeles.net\/sin-categorizar\/como-cambiara-el-clima-en-el-lugar-donde-vives-dentro-de-sesenta-anos\/"},"modified":"2025-06-11T06:21:50","modified_gmt":"2025-06-11T04:21:50","slug":"como-cambiara-el-clima-en-el-lugar-donde-vives-dentro-de-sesenta-anos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thesmartcityjournal.com\/es\/articulos\/como-cambiara-el-clima-en-el-lugar-donde-vives-dentro-de-sesenta-anos","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfC\u00f3mo cambiar\u00e1 el clima en el lugar donde vives dentro de sesenta a\u00f1os?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"lead\">Una nueva aplicaci\u00f3n permite vislumbrar el futuro del clima en miles de ciudades, pueblos y suburbios de todo el mundo<\/p>\n<p>\u00bfC\u00f3mo ser\u00e1 el clima dentro de cinco, diez o incluso cincuenta a\u00f1os? \u00bfHar\u00e1 mucho calor en verano? \u00bfNevar\u00e1 en invierno? \u00bfQu\u00e9 podr\u00eda revertirse reduciendo las emisiones? Si el clima sigue cambiando, \u00bfen qu\u00e9 medida se parecer\u00e1 mi ciudad natal a ese lugar m\u00e1s c\u00e1lido, h\u00famedo o seco al que he viajado de vacaciones o por trabajo? Todos somos conscientes del impacto del cambio clim\u00e1tico en nuestras ciudades y pueblos, as\u00ed que no es de extra\u00f1ar que muchos de nosotros nos hayamos hecho alguna vez una o varias de estas preguntas.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"article-title\">Cifras sofisticadas<\/h2>\n<p>Ya est\u00e1 disponible una versi\u00f3n mundial de la sencilla <a href=\"https:\/\/fitzlab.shinyapps.io\/cityapp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">aplicaci\u00f3n web interactiva<\/a> creada por Matt Fitzpatrick en el Laboratorio de los Apalaches del Centro de Ciencias Medioambientales de la Universidad de Maryland (Estados Unidos), que ofrece respuestas. Los usuarios pueden buscar en m\u00e1s de 40\u00a0500 lugares y m\u00e1s de 5\u00a0300 \u00e1reas metropolitanas para encontrar un lugar con el clima actual m\u00e1s similar al clima futuro previsto en su ciudad o pueblo en 2080. B\u00e1sicamente, la aplicaci\u00f3n responde a la siguiente pregunta: Si quisiera conocer el mejor ejemplo de c\u00f3mo se espera que sea el clima de mi ciudad en el futuro, \u00bfd\u00f3nde ser\u00eda?-<\/p>\n<p>Por ejemplo, si vives en Bruselas (B\u00e9lgica), tendr\u00edas que viajar a Bomba, en la regi\u00f3n italiana de los Abruzos, para experimentar c\u00f3mo se espera que sea Bruselas en 2080. Los veranos en la capital de la Uni\u00f3n Europea ser\u00e1n 5,3\u00a0\u00b0C m\u00e1s c\u00e1lidos y un 20,6\u00a0% m\u00e1s secos, mientras que los inviernos ser\u00e1n 3,9\u00a0\u00b0C m\u00e1s c\u00e1lidos y un 9,1\u00a0% m\u00e1s secos.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"article-title\">Imaginar el futuro del clima<\/h2>\n<p>\u00abDentro de cincuenta a\u00f1os, las ciudades del hemisferio norte se parecer\u00e1n mucho m\u00e1s a las ciudades del sur\u00bb, coment\u00f3 el profesor Fitzpatrick, director asociado de investigaci\u00f3n del centro, en un <a href=\"https:\/\/www.umces.edu\/news\/changing-climate-will-make-home-feel-like-somewhere-else\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">comunicado de prensa<\/a>. \u00abTodo se dirige hacia el ecuador en lo que respecta al clima que nos espera. Y cuanto m\u00e1s nos acercamos al ecuador, menos coinciden los climas de lugares como Centroam\u00e9rica, el sur de Florida y el norte de \u00c1frica. No hay ning\u00fan lugar en la Tierra que represente c\u00f3mo ser\u00e1n esos lugares [sic] en el futuro\u00bb. El profesor Fitzpatrick utiliz\u00f3 un m\u00e9todo estad\u00edstico que compara las previsiones clim\u00e1ticas futuras de un lugar con el clima actual de otro. Aplic\u00f3 los datos disponibles m\u00e1s recientes del Grupo Intergubernamental de Expertos sobre el Cambio Clim\u00e1tico de las Naciones Unidas.<\/p>\n<p>Por supuesto, el clima puede cambiar en cualquier momento, y la naturaleza espec\u00edfica de esos cambios no est\u00e1 clara. La aplicaci\u00f3n lo tiene en cuenta ofreciendo resultados para escenarios de emisiones elevadas y emisiones reducidas para compararlos con los que cabr\u00eda esperar en el marco del <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/es\/acerca-de-las-ndc\/el-acuerdo-de-paris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Acuerdo de Par\u00eds<\/a>, as\u00ed como para diferentes modelos de previsi\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica. Fitzpatrick pretende que los usuarios vean la aplicaci\u00f3n como algo m\u00e1s que una herramienta que muestra c\u00f3mo cambiar\u00e1 el clima local a medida que el planeta siga calent\u00e1ndose. \u00abEspero que siga contribuyendo al debate sobre el cambio clim\u00e1tico. Conf\u00edo en que ayude a la poblaci\u00f3n a comprender mejor la magnitud de las repercusiones y el motivo por el que los cient\u00edficos est\u00e1n tan preocupados\u00bb.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Una nueva aplicaci\u00f3n permite vislumbrar el futuro del clima en miles de ciudades, pueblos y suburbios de todo el mundo \u00bfC\u00f3mo ser\u00e1 el clima dentro de cinco, diez o incluso cincuenta a\u00f1os? \u00bfHar\u00e1 mucho calor en verano? \u00bfNevar\u00e1 en invierno? \u00bfQu\u00e9 podr\u00eda revertirse reduciendo las emisiones? Si el clima sigue cambiando, \u00bfen qu\u00e9 medida se\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18492,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_scj_primary_category_id":129,"_scj_featured":true,"_scj_featured_from":"","_scj_featured_until":"","_scj_featured_order":271,"_scj_visibility_class":"current","_scj_layout_family":"standard","_scj_article_style":"","_scj_display_overrides":[],"_scj_intro_image_id":18492,"_scj_intro_alt":"\u00bfC\u00f3mo cambiar\u00e1 el clima en el lugar donde vives dentro de sesenta a\u00f1os?","_scj_intro_caption":"","_scj_intro_class":"","_scj_intro_float":"","_scj_full_image_id":18492,"_scj_full_alt":"\u00bfC\u00f3mo cambiar\u00e1 el clima en el lugar donde vives dentro de sesenta 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